2024年7月18日 星期一 19:43:55

预计11月进口玉米到港量80万吨

     后期港口玉米价格可能下降;随着广东港口近期玉米价格小幅回升,南北贸易利润增加,东北港口贸易商发货积极性增加,预计后期南方港口到货量将随着增加。目前进口玉米已经进入集中到港期,预计11月份到港量达80万吨左右,12月份到港量将继续增加,这将给港口玉米价格带来下跌压力。如果没有其他利好因素,在双重供给压力下,后期港口玉米价格仍有下跌空间,但下跌空间较小。
  广东港口玉米库存降至40万吨左右,支撑玉米价格小幅回升。贸易商从东北发运辽吉玉米到广东港口到货成本为2420-2430元/吨,盈利50-70元/吨。东北港口新玉米价格稳中有涨,均比上周上涨10-20元/吨;目前东北玉米到港量不断增加,按质论价。
  国内玉米酒精价格高位趋稳,均比上周持平,比上月同期上涨150元/吨。DDGS价格低位运行,均比上周五下降50元/吨,但比上周末略有回升。后期酒精价格难以继续上涨;受酒精行业开工率持续低迷影响,当前酒精企业库存较低,华北部分地区出现供应一时偏紧现象,企业上调酒精价格,拉动了其他地区酒精价格上涨,目前华北地区酒精领涨国内酒精行情。但酒精价格上涨将拉动开工率提高,后期酒精价格仍面临回落。
  面粉供过于求价格易跌难涨;近年来面粉产能持续扩张,同时随着收入提高,居民饮食结构升级,对面粉的消费需求整体稳中有降,造成制粉行业产能过剩日益严重。供过于求的格局下,面粉价格易跌难涨。
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