2024年7月18日 星期一 19:43:55

玉米弱势下探空间仍在

      国际市场回顾:1月27日,美玉米收跌,产量压力令其近期在360美分附近徘徊。市场担心银行改革计划,美玉米收跌,供应压力有影响。关注出口需求能否改善。
  中国玉米市场网讯:1月,全国玉米淀粉用户进行春节前最后一轮采购,需求量出现较大幅度增长,但同时,由于利润水平上升,产区大部分中小企业陆续开工,尤其在华北黄淮地区,中小企业淀粉产出后,由于没有稳定的销售渠道,只能靠低价手段到处试探,结果给市场造成看空气氛,散户和经销商经常拿小厂淀粉价格来压制大品牌淀粉,使国内玉米淀粉价格出现不同程度的下滑。玉米下游产品价格不利或将影响玉米需求,近期饲料需求的低迷走势,也影响了玉米采购,南方销区表现也相对明显。近期购销平淡的格局仍可能延续。
  从技术走势来看,如我们此前所料,1009玉米在1850附近暂获支撑,但在量能上配合不足,加上昨日外盘走势偏弱,玉米延续下行,近期来看,下方支撑或降至1830附近。目前来看,中央一号文件近期可能出台,市场预期将继续锁定三农从而可能对市场形成一定支撑,关注文件内容支撑力度能否带来量能转化。

  
 

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