2024年7月18日 星期一 19:43:55

泰国新制糖年食糖出口量或减少20%

      路透社曼谷消息,美国农业部(USDA)驻曼谷办事处日前表示,由于恶劣天气冲击了甘蔗生产,估计10-11制糖年泰国这个全球第二大食糖出口国的食糖出口量将下降20%,至470万吨,较先前预期的出口量减少约50万吨。
      实际上,此前USDA就已经把10-11制糖年泰国的食糖预期产量下调了28万吨,至687万吨,这是三年来泰国食糖产量首次下降。甘蔗生长关键时期缺少降雨、开榨前雨水偏多有降低甘蔗含糖分是导致新制糖年泰国食糖减产的主要原因。
      受近期雨水偏多的影响,估计今年泰国糖厂有可能要到12月份巴西生产已接近收尾之时才开榨,泰国糖厂推迟一个月开榨可能会引发市场方面对供给的担心。
      此外,泰国力争使食糖产量每年增长20%的计划有可能会因土地资源有限而难以推进。
      目前泰国政府仍牢牢控制着食糖产业,为把全国的甘蔗日榨能力提升20万吨,至110万吨/日,今年5月份泰国政府曾同意建新糖厂,这是泰国政府从2003年实施3-5年计划以来首次同意建新糖厂。2003年国际糖价长时间处于低位一度抑制了泰国食糖产业的扩张。
      不过,从目前的情况看,泰国农民是否会愿意以减少种植玉米和木薯等其他农作物而增加甘蔗量还有待进一步观察,毕竟土地资源有限,农民都不愿意看到出现顾此失彼的局面。
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